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EFL Projections

Hail Mary

HAIL MARY

EFL Projections

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Live · Gameweek 5

Fantasy EFL × Hail Mary

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Real projected points for every Fantasy EFL player across the Championship, League One and League Two - plus a projection engine for the 2 club picks the game also scores. No budget. No prices. Just the numbers.

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MIL
🔥 Top Projected

Caleb Taylor

Millwall · DEF

11.2

Projected pts

LIN
⭐ Also Rated

Adam Reach

Lincoln City · MID

10.7

Projected pts

MID
🛡️ Top Club Pick

Middlesbrough

2 club picks per squad

10.3

Projected pts

3573Players tracked
72Clubs tracked
3,573Predictions frozen
1.27Mean absolute error
78%Within ±3 points

Hail Mary · Gameweek 5

Refreshed every pipeline run

What the model likes right now

11.2
🔥Top Projected · This Gameweek
MIL

Caleb Taylor

Millwall · DEF · Championship

11.2

Projected points

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Everything you need to attack the gameweek

11.2

Hail Mary Projections

Every player. Every Gameweek. Every horizon.

This GW, next GW, or a 2/3/5-Gameweek outlook — every player across all 3 divisions priced with a projected points total and a 1–10 rating, sortable any way you like.

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How it's built

Five real layers, never one black box

Every projection is a weighted blend of five independently-tracked layers, frozen before kickoff and checked against what actually happened.

L1

Xmins

L2

Form

L3

Fixture Qty

L4

Fixture Quality

L5

Live Odds

66% within ±1pt72% within ±2pt78% within ±3pt

Ready for the next Gameweek?

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Explore the Projections
Rating
—
Fixture Blackburn Rovers (A) · Middlesbrough (A)
Ownership 14.7%
🛡️

Top Club Pick

MID

Middlesbrough

2 club picks per squad

10.3

Projected pts

👀

Differential

LIN

Adam Reach

8.5% owned

10.7

Projected pts

🏟️

Fixture to Target

WHU

West Ham United

vs WRE · 2.4 proj goals

64%

Win probability

10 of 10 players

MIL
Caleb Taylor
DEFMillwall
11.2
Projected

Blackburn Rovers (A) · Middlesbrough (A)

Season38
Rating—
Owned14.7%
LIN
Adam Reach
MIDLincoln City
10.7
Projected

Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)

Season37
Rating—
Owned8.5%
MIL
Jake Cooper
DEFMillwall
10.7
Projected

Blackburn Rovers (A) · Middlesbrough (A)

Season34
Rating—
Owned9.3%
LIN
Deji Elerewe
DEFLincoln City
10.7
Projected

Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)

Season35
Rating—
Owned2.9%
LIN
George Wickens
GKLincoln City
10.4
Projected

Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)

Season33
Rating—
Owned10.2%
MID
Sebastian Berhalter
MIDMiddlesbrough
10.1
Projected

Norwich City (H) · Millwall (H)

Season39
Rating—
Owned3.1%
BRA
Aden Baldwin
DEFBradford City
10.1
Projected

Notts County (A)

Season48
Rating—
Owned6.1%
BRC
Rob Dickie
DEFBristol City
10.0
Projected

Southampton (A) · Lincoln City (H)

Season30
Rating—
Owned7.8%
BRC
Rio Cardines
DEFBristol City
9.9
Projected

Southampton (A) · Lincoln City (H)

Season31
Rating—
Owned3.2%
LIN
Reeco Hackett
MIDLincoln City
9.8
Projected

Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)

Season29
Rating—
Owned2.0%
PlayerFixturesOwnedSeasonProjected↓Rating
MIL
Caleb Taylor
DEFMillwall
Blackburn Rovers (A) · Middlesbrough (A)14.7%3811.2—
LIN
Adam Reach
MIDLincoln City
Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)8.5%3710.7—
MIL
Jake Cooper
DEFMillwall
Blackburn Rovers (A) · Middlesbrough (A)9.3%3410.7—
LIN
Deji Elerewe
DEFLincoln City
Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)2.9%3510.7—
LIN
George Wickens
GKLincoln City
Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)10.2%3310.4—
MID
Sebastian Berhalter
MIDMiddlesbrough
Norwich City (H) · Millwall (H)3.1%3910.1—
BRA
Aden Baldwin
DEFBradford City
Notts County (A)6.1%4810.1—
BRC
Rob Dickie
DEFBristol City
Southampton (A) · Lincoln City (H)7.8%3010.0—
BRC
Rio Cardines
DEFBristol City
Southampton (A) · Lincoln City (H)3.2%319.9—
LIN
Reeco Hackett
MIDLincoln City
Preston North End (A) · Bristol City (A)2.0%299.8—
See all 3573 players →→
64%
efl.hailmaryfantasysports.co.uk/fixturesLive
WHU
West Ham United

19:00

Wrexham
WRE
64%18% draw18%

2.4 projected goals 1.2

30%

Clean sheet

70%

2+ goals

9%

Clean sheet

34%

2+ goals

  • Jarrod Bowen6.1
  • Manor Solomon5.3
  • Maximilian Kilman5.0
  • Lewis O'Brien5.2
  • Callum Doyle4.9
  • Benjamin Whiteman4.7
BOL
Bolton Wanderers

11:30

Cardiff City
CAR
41%25% draw34%

1.5 projected goals 1.4

26%

Clean sheet

44%

2+ goals

22%

Clean sheet

39%

2+ goals

  • Thierry Gale5.7
  • Max Conway
View full Gameweek 5 slate →→

Fixture Forecast

Know the Gameweek before you pick.

Real win/draw/loss odds, projected goals, and clean-sheet chances for every Championship, League One and League Two fixture — the same real signals priced straight into every projection on this site.

View Fixture Forecast
73

HM Best Squad

No budget. No transfers. Just the strongest 7.

Real Fantasy EFL rules: 7 players in one of 3 fixed formations (max 2 per club), plus your best 2 real club picks — rebuildable from scratch every gameweek, free.

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72.5 pts

Projected total

1-2-3-1

Formation

BRC
Lorent Tolaj9.6—
LIN
Adam Reach10.7—
04

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GW5 · Projected Points
Top 5 Projected Players
1
MIL
Caleb Taylor
Millwall · DEF · Championship
11.2
Pts
2
LIN
Adam Reach
Lincoln City · MID · Championship
10.7
Pts
3
MIL
Jake Cooper
Millwall · DEF · Championship
10.7
Pts
4
LIN
Deji Elerewe
Lincoln City · DEF · Championship
10.7
Pts
5
LIN
George Wickens
Lincoln City · GK · Championship
10.4
Pts
Hail Mary

HM Top Picks

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efl.hailmaryfantasysports.co.uk/compareLive
MIL
Caleb Taylor
Millwall · DEF
LIN
Adam Reach
95% within ±5pt
n=3,136 real captured results
5.3
  • Josh Sheehan5.2
    • Cian Ashford9.2
    • Yousef Salech8.9
    • Ollie Tanner8.8
    MID
    Sebastian Berhalter
    10.1
    —
    BRC
    Jason Knight9.8—
    MIL
    Caleb Taylor11.2—
    MIL
    Jake Cooper10.7—
    LIN
    George Wickens10.4—
    Lincoln City · MID

    2026/27 Season · Head-to-Head

    11.2
    This GW
    Points expected this gameweek
    10.7
    27.7
    Next 5 GWs
    Total points over the next 5 gameweeks
    26.7
    38.0
    Season Points
    Real total so far
    37.0
    6.3
    Points Per Game
    6 vs 6 real games played
    6.2
    1
    Goals
    Real season total
    1
    0
    Assists
    Real season total
    1
    14.7%
    Ownership
    % of managers who own this player right now
    8.5%

    Upcoming Fixtures

    GW5@BLAC
    GW5@MIDD
    GW6WEST
    GW9@PRES
    GW9SWAN
    GW5@PRES
    GW5@BRIS
    GW6SWAN
    GW9@SHEF
    GW9WEST

    Player Face-Off

    Pick any two players — real projections, form, fixtures and ownership, side by side.

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